As per a report led by Mathukumalli Vidyasagar and Manindra Agrawal at the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) in Hyderabad and Kanpur, India may see another rise in Covid-19 cases as soon as August.
The study has stated that the third wave peaking with less than 100,000 infections a day in the best-case scenario or nearly 150,000 in the worst scenario and the third wave of the coronavirus pandemic, may peak in October, reports Hindustan Times.
However, The third wave of Covid-19 is unlikely to be as severe as the second wave when India reported 400,000-plus daily cases, and researchers forecast that this time the surge in Covid-19 cases will be less is based on a mathematical model.
In May, Vidyasagar, a professor at IIT Hyderabad said told Bloomberg, “Our predictions are that the peak will come within a few days. As per current projections, we should hit 20,000 cases per day by the end of June. We will revise this as needed,”.
However, his prediction that the wave would peak by the middle of last month was incorrect but it turns out his prediction was wrong because of incorrect parameters as “the pandemic was changing rapidly, even wildly, until about a week ago.”
India on Sunday (August 1) reported 41,831 Covid-19 cases and 541 deaths as the Centre cautioned 10 states, including Kerala, Maharashtra, and northeastern regions, as there is a rise in infections and asked them to take necessary steps to stop the spread of the coronavirus.
Experts have also warned that the Delta variant of the coronavirus can easily spread as chickenpox and what is even more threatening is that it can be passed on by vaccinated people leading to a surge in infections.
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