Brazil’s death toll predicted to cross 125,000 by August

Brazil’s daily rate of deaths due to coronavirus has taken a turn for the worse with the death rate climbing to the highest in the world. At this rate, experts say that it could rise up to five fold by August.

On Monday, Brazil crossed the US’ daily death toll, calling for a lockdown that had not been strongly enforced by the government.

Brazil registered 807 deaths on Monday, while the number was 620 in the US. Brazil has already overtaken Russia to be the number 2 coronavirus hotspot after the United States.

The US government has enforced strict restrictions against traveling from and to Brazil to the US.

While speaking about this, IHME Director Dr. Christopher Murray wrote that Brazil should follow Wuhan and Spain’s model of mandatory social distancing and that they had to gain control of the epidemic before it gets out of hand. The IHME forecast model predicts the rise in death toll based on the effects of social distancing, mobility statistics and testing process and capacity, which could change based on policy adjustments.